Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Obama and the Iranians

There was talk today about Iran extending an "olive branch" for a new era in Iran U.S. relations.....this is how I see it....

Another blogger wrote that he was encouraged by the student "rumblings" in Iran about a more open government. This is my response to that and how I view this "sudden" turn about in Iranian diplomacy.

There were "rumblings" in China too.....Remember how Tianammen Square turned out?.....The reality is that Iran has been fighting sanctions, delaying inspections, refusing inspections, denying they are doing anything other than "innocent nuclear research".....If you buy that then I have a bridge to sell you.....Because the whole time they are doing "deny, delay" they test new missile platforms, lob threats at us, and call for the destruction of Israel almost daily. They continue to enrich Uranium and fund terrorists. The idea is to get a bomb and then say "We have a Nuke, what ya gonna do about it?" They perceive weakness in Obama, something that they can take advantage of, just like Russia sees him, and China and others.

No nation with an oppressive government EVER negotiates unless they see an opportunity for concessions from the other party. If they don't see a tactical or strategic advantage in it for them they will play the "deny, delay" game. The leadership in North Korea is a perfect example. Kim jong Il seems perfectly willing to let his entire population starve to death rather than give up his grip on power. The rulers of Myanmar were perfectly willing to let thousands of additional people perish after a typhoon rather than admit that they were ill equipped to deal with the tragedy and allow aid workers into the country "enmasse". We may be hardasses at the negotiating table, but keeping loons like Kim jong Il and that nut job in Iran from possessing nuclear weapons keeps us and the rest of the world a little safer. Neville Chamberlain tried appeasement. 80 million people died because of it.

Obama would do well to remember that lesson, but I don't have any faith in his ability to recognize that his ego is getting in the way of his common sense. This isn't a schoolyard basketball game, it isn't a community organizing event.....This is the real world with alot of folks that genuinely dislike the freedoms we are used to, are jealous of our lifestyle, or just plain hate that we are the last remaining military superpower. Obama would also do well to remember a lesson from Ronald Reagan's play book. Reagan broke the back of the Soviet Union without firing a shot. He forced an end to the Cold War through simple economics. China, Russia, and a few others remember those lessons and are using them to THEIR advantage now.....We're over-extended, they know it, but not one idiot in Washington seems to get it. We need to ELIMINATE debt, not go on a willy-nilly spending spree to create new mountains of it. If we don't learn that VERY quickly the only thing we will be negotiating is the surrender of all that our Founding Fathers fought and died to create for us 233 years ago.....Not a fitting end to such a glorious beginning.

Good Day!

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